Dollar hits 2 1/2 months low vs Yen on US sub-prime worries

The sharp fall in oil prices on Tuesday (Brent crude fell $3 per barrel to around $76) shows the lack of support at these high levels. the wobble in prices illustrates the vulnerability of prices when speculative long positions are close to record highs. Analysts continue to expect Brent crude to fall to around $65pb by year-end.The Bank of Japan is expected to raise interest rates at only a glacial pace this year, posing little threat to the carry trade. But worries that weakness in the US sub-prime mortgage market is spreading to the wider economy could cause a flight from risky assets — le ding to a rush to buy back yen. The Yen already surged across the board on Tuesday as growing turmoil in U.S. credit markets led investors to bail out of stocks and risky trades financed by borrowing in the Japanese currency.

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